A second term for Luis Abinader

The triumphant re-election of outgoing President Luis Abinader on May 19, 2024, with almost 60% of the vote in the first round, came as no surprise. It was preceded by a very large victory for his party, the PRM (Modern Revolutionary Party), in the municipal elections of February 2024. It now manages 121 of the Dominican Republic's 158 mayoralties. The PRM also won the legislative and senatorial elections by a wide margin.

First elected in March 2020, in the midst of the Covid 19 pandemic, President Abinader is a 58-year-old economist and entrepreneur. Born on July 12, 1967 in Santo Domingo, he has long headed Abicor, a family business that owns several hotels, a cement plant and a university. The grandson of a Lebanese immigrant, educated in the United States, his fortune is estimated at $75 million. He initially suffered two defeats in the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections. In 2020, as the candidate of "change", his campaign slogan, he won the votes of the middle class and young people by embodying a break with the four consecutive terms of office of the PLD (Dominican Liberation Party). Former president Danilo Médina had succeeded in ensuring the country's economic stability, with average annual growth of 6% between 2014 and 2019: the fastest in Latin America and the Caribbean. But his mandate was marred by scandals linked to the Odebrecht affair. This Brazilian construction company had admitted paying bribes to numerous political leaders in Latin America, including $92 million in the Dominican Republic. The scandal brought crowds to the streets in January 2017 for unprecedented "green marches" in this small state of 11 million inhabitants.

Luis Abinader won the election in 2020, promising to overcome social inequalities and revive tourism, which had been damaged by the health crisis. The gamble paid off, with the Dominican Republic welcoming over eleven million visitors in 2024. Tourism is a national priority, receiving around 20% of the country's budget and benefiting from numerous tax exemptions. Every year, the government develops new areas for vacationers. These include Pedernales, with the construction of the new Cabo Rojo port for cruise ships and the new Cabo Rojo international airport, where work began in 2023 and is scheduled for completion in 2027, and Miches, where Club Med opened a luxury resort in 2019.

Luis Abinader has made the fight against inflation another of his priorities. This was brought down to 3.7% year-on-year in April 2025, after peaking in 2021 and 2022 as a result of the war in Ukraine. He has also tackled corruption by dismissing several thousand civil servants. The Dominican population is largely in agreement with his actions. In addition to the results at the ballot box, a poll carried out in January 2024 by the American Society/Council of the Americas shows that, with 69%, he is one of the most popular heads of state in Latin America. The country's sound economic management and the fight against insecurity are now among the priorities of his second term. Added to this are the tense relations with Haiti, the country's eastern neighbor. This issue was at the heart of the 2024 election.

Haiti: a neighbor in bad shape

A 380-kilometer border separates the two neighbors, who share the island of Hispaniola. Since his election in 2020, Dominican President Luis Abinader has been steadily tightening controls to prevent illegal immigration from Haiti. Since 2021, a wall has been under construction along the border between the two countries. The first kilometers were erected in the Dajabon region at the north-western tip of the Dominican Republic. The Dominican government's aim is to control bilateral trade much more effectively, regulating migratory flows to combat mafias, drug trafficking and illegal arms sales. In February 2025, a further 12 km extension was announced, bringing the total planned length to 170 km, as part of a campaign dubbed "strengthening the border". The 2010 earthquake in Port-au-Prince triggered a strong mobilization of the Dominican population on behalf of the victims. Since then, the two neighbors have been at loggerheads. At the end of 2013, the courts attempted to strip of their Dominican nationality thousands of descendants of Haitians who had come to work on local farms during the 20th century. The uproar led Congress to reverse this decision. In September 2023, land, air and sea borders were temporarily closed. The Dominican Republic accused its neighbor of diverting water from the border's Massacre River through the construction of an irrigation canal.

In March 2024, the gang takeover of Port-au-Prince caused thousands of residents to flee, attempting to cross the border by bribing police officers and enriching smugglers. Undocumented immigrants (including unaccompanied minors and pregnant women) are hunted down throughout the country and deported back to Haiti, sometimes violently. Since October 2023, over 250,000 illegal Haitians have been deported, with a fixed plan of 10,000 deportations per week.

The chaotic situation in Haiti, which has been in the throes of a political, economic and security crisis for several years, has not affected trade relations between the two countries. Although weakened by political tensions, they remain essential, with nearly a billion dollars worth of trade a year.

A strong economy in the region

The Dominican Republic has been one of the most resilient and dynamic economies in Latin America and the Caribbean since the beginning of the 21st century, with average economic growth of 5% (2.3% for the region), GDP per capita more than doubling (to $10,700), and poverty rates dropping by almost a third (from 40% to 28%), enabling the country to move forward. Since the Covid 19 pandemic, macroeconomic stability, despite a difficult international context, has been encouraged by a prudent fiscal policy and an appropriate monetary policy. However, the economy still faces major challenges in boosting its growth potential and strengthening its climate resilience.

In 2024, it remains highly dependent on the United States (54% of exports and over 50% of imports): it is the Dominican Republic's main trading partner, and every year a little more so. The Dominican economy is therefore largely impacted by the health of the American market. Next come China (8% of trade, with a deficit of 3.4 billion) and Mexico (2% of trade). France remains a very modest partner: 18th supplier with a 0.94% share and 28th customer with a 0.32% share.

Exports reached $12.93 billion in 2024. The main mineral exported is gold, which accounts for 68% of exports or 1.3 billion USD. Agricultural exports for the domestic market are peppers and bananas. Domestic industrial exports rose by 26.3% to 3.2 billion dollars, driven by steel bars and chemical industry products.

Exports from the free zone regime reached 7.8 billion USD in 2022. They represent 57% of the country's total exports. This result is mainly due to exports of medical instruments and supplies, manufactured tobacco and jewelry.

Priorities for the coming years will be to improve the quality of education (4% of GDP), in particular by strengthening teacher training, improving the quality of public services and adapting the country to the effects of climate change.

The place of tourism in the Dominican landscape

Well-known as an exporter of tobacco, sugar and bananas, the Dominican Republic is a leader in the tourism sector, which outstrips agriculture in terms of employment. The country welcomes the most visitors in the Caribbean zone, accounting for 16% of all travelers visiting this part of the world. 11.2 million tourists visited in 2024, after 10 million in 2023. April 2025 was the absolute record month, with a total of 1,020,646 visitors, 20% more than in April 2023.

At the top of the list were US nationals (35% of vacationers in 2024), followed by Canadians (25%). Next come Argentinians (8%) and Colombians (5%), neighbors of the nearby island of Puerto Rico who benefit from the many sea and air links. The discontinuation of Air France and Corsair services to the island brought a halt to the steady growth in visitor numbers from France. But Air Caraïbes took up the slack: between January and March 2025, 53,000 French people entered the country, topping the list of Europeans, followed by Germans, Britons and Italians. Between January and March 2026, Air France announces its return to Punta Cana with 3 weekly flights from Paris-CDG. For its part, Air Caraïbes is opening a new direct Paris-Orly - Samaná route from December 15, 2025, with round-trip flights available and a return option via Santo Domingo for multi-destination trips arriving in Samaná and departing from another Dominican city.

Tourism is the country's main source of foreign currency. Successive governments have invested heavily in this sector, and numerous tax incentives have been introduced to encourage private investment. Ecotourism is on the rise, offering an alternative to the all-inclusive hotels that occupy the Punta Cana region in particular.

Management of the Covid 19 pandemic has proved effective. The World Tourism Organization was delighted. The borders were reopened to holidaymakers in winter 2020. A meeting of the region's tourism ministers led to the signing in Punta Cana of a declaration establishing tourism as an absolute priority for the Americas, calling on governments to show support for businesses in the sector, and stressing the importance of re-establishing a bond of trust with travelers. This is now the case.